Illustrative partner groups, not coalition agreements. A seat majority means having the numbers; it does not announce a government. The threshold includes any overhang.
Build a possible majority
Select parties to add their published seats. This shows the arithmetic, not a prediction of who will govern together.
Seat arithmetic, updated with the count
The paths to a majority
Follow different arrangements, their current seats, the majority target and which extra partners could bridge the gap. These are scenarios, not promises or predicted agreements.
| Arrangement | Seats | Current position | Who needs what? | Political context |
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Short on the current count does not mean mathematically eliminated. Uncounted party votes, special votes, threshold crossings and overhang can change the whole seat allocation. We have no verified remaining-vote bounds, so do not declare that a route is impossible. A minority government can also govern with confidence-and-supply support; a strict seat majority is the comparison used here, not the only constitutional route.
Campaign-position reporting / Government formation explained